Current prices, simulated opening outcomes, and collector appeal — compared in one place.
All modeled sealed products normalized per pack.
Modeled Return on Spend
39.1%
Typical Retention
27.4%
Chance to Recover Cost
5.1%
Entertainment Cost / Pack
$10.89
Average Cost / Pack
$17.88
Average Model Break-Even / Pack
$6.99
Typical Opening / Pack
$3.59
Measured P01–P99 percentile curve across the weighted modeled product cohort.
How to read this
Move left to right from more common lower outcomes toward rarer higher outcomes. Each point shows the share of purchase cost retained at that percentile. The 100% line is full cost recovery.
Half of modeled openings retain 27.4% of cost or less, and about 5.1% recover their full purchase price.
Sets represented
Card values reflect modeled gross market value. Selling fees, shipping, liquidity, grading costs, taxes, and other transaction costs are not deducted.